7 May 2026 | 11:00-12:00 CET | Online
Join Climact and Carbon Market Watch for a deep dive into the future of the EU ETS.
With the EU having committed to cutting net greenhouse gas emissions by 90% by 2040, and a scheduled update of the EU ETS and the Market Stability Reserve (MSR) set for Q3 2026, the stakes have never been higher. The negotiations of 2026–2027 will shape the backbone of EU climate policy for the next decade and science-based analysis will be essential to inform them.
We are excited to invite you to this joint webinar, where Climact and Carbon Market Watch will present a new data-driven modelling tool designed to assess the role of ETS1 in meeting the EU’s 2040 climate targets, and to evaluate the impact of key policy options currently under negotiation.
The tool covers the period 2021–2040 and assesses the impact of different a policy options on supply-demand balance, auction volumes, and free allowances allocation by sector and member state.
The objectives of the webinar are to answer the following questions using this modelling tool:
- How will the volumes of allowances evolve under different MSR and Linear Reduction Factor assumptions post-2030?
- What are the impact of different phase-out rates of free allowances?
- What would be the effect of integrating international carbon credits or carbon removal mechanisms within the ETS?
- How would expanding the ETS scope to additional aviation and maritime emissions change the overall balance?
This webinar is an opportunity to engage directly with the analytical findings, explore scenario results, and discuss their relevance for the upcoming ETS reform negotiations.
